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問題 · 2026-05-21
伯納姆支持率能否上升存在高度不確定性，取決於其競選策略與全國政治氣候變化。
伯納姆在梅克菲爾德補選中的支持率前景並不樂觀。民調顯示他目前僅領先改革黨對手兩個百分點[1]，而工黨在2026年5月的地方選舉中在該區失去所有議席，改革黨獲得約50%選票[1]。儘管伯納姆作為大曼徹斯特市長累積了知名度與聲望，但要在補選前扭轉局勢並提升支持率，他必須重新贏得流向改革黨的選民信任，並有效應對選民對工黨近期表現的不滿。支持率能否回升將取決於其競選策略的有效性及全國政治氣候的變化，目前缺乏可靠數據證明支持率會持續上升。
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