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Question · 2026-05-21
Andy Burnham will run for the election in Makerfield in way of returning to the parliament and challenge the PM role. What do you think his chance would be? Some people said Reform UK will capture the seat instead as the Labour support in that region is not as strong as most people think. Do you have the latest polling estimate?
Andy Burnham did not run for Makerfield in 2024; the seat was won by Labour. Any future candidacy remains speculative.
Andy Burnham did not contest Makerfield in the July 2024 general election. The seat was won by Josh Simons for Labour with a majority exceeding ten thousand votes, with Reform UK finishing second but well behind. Burnham remains Mayor of Greater Manchester, a position he holds until 2028, and has not announced plans to return to Parliament imminently.
The premise of the question—that Burnham will run for Makerfield to challenge for the Prime Minister role—does not reflect current reality. While Burnham has expressed long-term interest in returning to Westminster and has been discussed as a potential future Labour leadership contender, any such move would depend on a future Labour leadership vacancy and his decision to step down from his mayoral role. Makerfield remains a safe Labour seat despite Reform's stronger performance in post-industrial northern areas generally.
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